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BLAST Slam I · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 25 games
64%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Pyw · 20 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 19 games
74%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 19 games
68%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 18 games
61%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ame · 17 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Xm · 17 games
47%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 17 games
59%

Gaimin Gladiators

Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 21 game
67%
Underlord
Underlord
Ace · 21 game
57%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 20 games
65%
Muerta
Muerta
tOfu · 19 games
58%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 18 games
56%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Quinn · 18 games
78%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Seleri · 15 games
40%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 13 games
77%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
506 picks · 685 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
429 picks · 488 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
370 picks · 533 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
356 picks · 457 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
351 picks · 180 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
329 picks · 479 bans
52%
Enchantress
Enchantress
325 picks · 633 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
317 picks · 328 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 46%
Hero pool strength50% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total64% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:14
Xtreme Gaming 45%Gaimin Gladiators 55%
The model gave 55% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 53:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
Ursalou
48% · 71 game50% · 85 games
Templar AssassinWatson
Templar Assassin
Sand King
Sand KingXm
53% · 123 games50% · 140 games
InvokerQuinn
Invoker
Primal Beast
Primal Beastniu
51% · 225 games42% · 85 games
TerrorbladeAce
Terrorblade
Muerta
MuertaPyw
48% · 117 games53% · 249 games
EnchantressSeleri
Enchantress
Pugna
PugnaPoloson
52% · 155 games52% · 132 games
MagnustOfu
Magnus
Game 2prediction missed23:17
Xtreme Gaming 44%Gaimin Gladiators 56%
The model gave 56% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 40:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
Ursalou
62% · 28 games46% · 96 games
Nature's ProphetQuinn
Nature's Prophet
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainXm
45% · 43 games52% · 50 games
DawnbreakerAce
Dawnbreaker
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeniu
49% · 68 games47% · 24 games
Drow RangerWatson
Drow Ranger
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPyw
51% · 142 games52% · 137 games
MuertatOfu
Muerta
Pugna
PugnaPoloson
56% · 101 game43% · 75 games
Ogre MagiSeleri
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 64%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2