?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam I · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 25 games
60%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 25 games
80%
Razor
Razorsignature
miCKe · 23 games
70%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
iNSaNiA · 22 games
59%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
iNSaNiA · 22 games
68%
Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 22 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 20 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
miCKe · 19 games
68%

PARIVISION

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 16 games
63%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 15 games
53%
Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 14 games
79%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 13 games
77%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 12 games
67%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 12 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 11 games
73%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
506 picks · 686 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
430 picks · 488 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
371 picks · 534 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
356 picks · 457 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
350 picks · 180 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
329 picks · 477 bans
52%
Enchantress
Enchantress
326 picks · 633 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
317 picks · 329 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 51%
Hero pool strength50% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total71% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:29
Team Liquid 65%PARIVISION 35%
The model gave 65% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 36:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazormiCKe
45% · 177 games53% · 90 games
SniperNo[o]ne
Sniper
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSabeRLight-
45% · 147 games59% · 137 games
AlchemistCrystallis
Alchemist
Invoker
InvokerNisha
53% · 163 games55% · 180 games
BeastmasterDM
Beastmaster
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBoxi
47% · 274 games50% · 196 games
Shadow DemonPanto
Shadow Demon
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiiNSaNiA
49% · 61 game44% · 219 games
Gyrocopter9Class
Gyrocopter
Game 2prediction missed23:47
Team Liquid 63%PARIVISION 37%
The model gave 63% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 49:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinmiCKe
46% · 125 games46% · 211 games
RazorCrystallis
Razor
Tiny
TinyNisha
50% · 297 games46% · 88 games
Earth SpiritNo[o]ne
Earth Spirit
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSabeRLight-
46% · 127 games51% · 356 games
Centaur WarrunnerDM
Centaur Warrunner
Doom
DoomBoxi
55% · 226 games59% · 123 games
ChenPanto
Chen
Pugna
PugnaiNSaNiA
55% · 143 games44% · 140 games
Muerta9Class
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 71%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2