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BLAST Slam I · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:1
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:1
BETBOOM TEAMwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 43 games
70%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 32 games
84%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 30 games
73%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 28 games
71%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 26 games
62%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 25 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
ATF · 23 games
78%
Razor
Razorsignature
ATF · 21 game
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
62%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
46%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 19 games
68%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 17 games
65%
Doom
Doomoften banned
MieRo · 15 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 15 games
53%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Kataomi · 15 games
73%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 15 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
503 picks · 688 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
431 picks · 487 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 539 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
357 picks · 457 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
350 picks · 180 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
332 picks · 473 bans
52%
Enchantress
Enchantress
322 picks · 641 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
318 picks · 328 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 54%
Hero pool strength56% Team Falcons
Head-to-head10 – 1
Model total67% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:25
Team Falcons 60%BETBOOM TEAM 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaMalr1ne
45% · 85 games47% · 320 games
MorphlingPure~
Morphling
Weaver
WeaverSkiter
56% · 212 games65% · 160 games
Monkey KinggpK~
Monkey King
Razor
RazorATF
39% · 183 games45% · 215 games
BeastmasterMieRo
Beastmaster
Tusk
TuskCr1t-
48% · 261 game53% · 340 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Batrider
BatriderSneyking
48% · 345 games51% · 51 game
Ogre MagiKataomi
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 67%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1