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BLAST Slam I · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 1:0
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
62%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 25 games
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 19 games
68%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 17 games
65%
Doom
Doomoften banned
MieRo · 15 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 15 games
53%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Kataomi · 15 games
73%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Pure~ · 15 games
73%

Xtreme Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 23 games
61%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Pyw · 20 games
65%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 19 games
68%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 18 games
72%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ame · 17 games
53%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 17 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 17 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Pyw · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
501 picks · 686 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
428 picks · 485 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
374 picks · 540 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
357 picks · 457 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
348 picks · 179 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
330 picks · 465 bans
52%
Enchantress
Enchantress
321 picks · 642 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
316 picks · 323 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head5 – 3
Model total81% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:10
BETBOOM TEAM 67%Xtreme Gaming 33%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 29:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinPure~
43% · 108 games43% · 121 game
Lifestealerlou
Lifestealer
Invoker
InvokergpK~
48% · 97 games55% · 67 games
SniperXm
Sniper
Tiny
TinyMieRo
51% · 272 games50% · 223 games
Marsniu
Mars
Pugna
PugnaSave-
54% · 111 games54% · 132 games
MuertaPyw
Muerta
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiKataomi
52% · 38 games50% · 83 games
Elder TitanPoloson
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 81%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1