BLAST Slam I · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 1:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Sand Kingsignature
33 · 32 games
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 31 game
Tuskoften banned
Whitemon · 30 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 29 games
Doomsignature
33 · 24 games
Enchantresssignature
Whitemon · 24 games
Marssignature
RAMZES666 · 24 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Saksa · 24 games
Gaimin Gladiators
Underlord
Ace · 22 games
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 20 games
Chensignature
Seleri · 20 games
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 18 games
Invokersignature
Quinn · 18 games
Muerta
tOfu · 17 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
501 picks · 686 bans
Clockwerk
428 picks · 485 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 540 bans
Luna
357 picks · 457 bans
Dark Willow
348 picks · 179 bans
Dragon Knight
330 picks · 464 bans
Enchantress
321 picks · 642 bans
Batrider
315 picks · 323 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 46%
Hero pool strength54% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total54% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:12
Tundra Esports 52%Gaimin Gladiators 48%
The model gave 52% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 37:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingNightfall
TerrorbladeWatson
LinaLorenof
PuckQuinn
Tidehunter33
MagnusAce
PhoenixWhitemon
SnapfiretOfu
Shadow DemonSaksa
BatriderSeleri
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 54%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1