BLAST Slam I · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARIVISION
Pangoliersignature
DM · 16 games
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 15 games
Batridersignature
9Class · 12 games
Chensignature
Dukalis · 11 games
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 11 games
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 11 games
Enigmaoften banned
DM · 11 games
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 11 games
Heroic
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 26 games
Tusksignature
Scofield · 21 game
Earth Spiritsignature
4nalog · 20 games
Hoodwinksignature
Scofield · 19 games
Snapfire
Scofield · 19 games
Shadow Fiendsignature
Parker · 17 games
Invokeroften banned
4nalog · 15 games
Alchemistsignature
K1 · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
500 picks · 686 bans
Clockwerk
428 picks · 485 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 540 bans
Luna
357 picks · 457 bans
Dark Willow
348 picks · 179 bans
Dragon Knight
330 picks · 463 bans
Enchantress
321 picks · 642 bans
Batrider
314 picks · 323 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 49%
Hero pool strength51% Heroic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:7
PARIVISION 54%Heroic 46%
The model gave 54% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 24:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerCrystallis
GyrocopterYuma
TinyNo[o]ne
Ember Spirit4nalog
MagnusDM
DoomDavai
Batrider9Class
EarthshakerScofield
TuskPanto
DisruptorKJ
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 56%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1