Открытые киберспортивные игры 2024 Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
ReBelwin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vega.Hopeloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ReBel
No games played over 6 months.
Vega.Hope
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
501 picks · 680 bans
Clockwerk
426 picks · 481 bans
Pangolier
368 picks · 547 bans
Luna
358 picks · 457 bans
Dark Willow
345 picks · 178 bans
Dragon Knight
331 picks · 451 bans
Enchantress
323 picks · 655 bans
Batrider
315 picks · 324 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% ReBel
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% ReBel
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
ReBel 63%Vega.Hope 37%
The model gave 63% on ReBel — the game was taken by ReBel.
Game 2prediction correct
ReBel 63%Vega.Hope 37%
The model gave 63% on ReBel — the game was taken by ReBel.
Model check result
Model favoriteReBel · 63%
Series resultReBel 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2