Открытые киберспортивные игры 2024 Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Quantum Teamloss 1:2series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:2
TT Teamwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Quantum Team
Magnusoften banned
Rvze · 8 games
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 7 games
Phoenixsignature
Fezor · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Somnia · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
bashka · 6 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 6 games
Snapfire
Somnia · 5 games
Dark Willow
Somnia · 4 games
TT Team
Batrideroften banned
Askold · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
500 picks · 681 bans
Clockwerk
424 picks · 479 bans
Pangolier
365 picks · 546 bans
Luna
358 picks · 457 bans
Dark Willow
339 picks · 177 bans
Dragon Knight
332 picks · 444 bans
Enchantress
325 picks · 659 bans
Batrider
315 picks · 325 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 30%
Hero pool strength56% Quantum Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Quantum Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Quantum Team 67%TT Team 33%
The model gave 67% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Quantum Team.
Game 2prediction missed
Quantum Team 67%TT Team 33%
The model gave 67% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by TT Team.
Game 3prediction missed
Quantum Team 67%TT Team 33%
The model gave 67% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by TT Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuantum Team · 67%
Series resultTT Team 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3