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European Pro League Season 21 · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 2:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Passion UAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Weaver
Weaversignature
sayuw · 10 games
60%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Solo · 8 games
63%
Undying
Undying
Solo · 7 games
43%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 6 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
kiyotaka · 5 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Alberkaaa · 4 games
75%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
DarkLord^ · 4 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Solo · 4 games
50%

Passion UA

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 20 games
45%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 19 games
37%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
niche · 17 games
59%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Batyuk · 16 games
56%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
flacko · 16 games
38%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 14 games
36%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
flacko · 13 games
54%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
flacko · 13 games
23%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
488 picks · 668 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
420 picks · 468 bans
53%
Luna
Luna
359 picks · 457 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
359 picks · 536 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
333 picks · 177 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
322 picks · 415 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
320 picks · 656 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
303 picks · 312 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 48%
Hero pool strength54% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:7
9Pandas 52%Passion UA 48%
The model gave 52% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 22:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightDarkLord^
51% · 328 games51% · 51 game
Huskarniche
Huskar
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakerlaise
49% · 92 games54% · 284 games
Gyrocopteryowaai
Gyrocopter
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiriterase
44% · 183 games51% · 159 games
MagnusBatyuk
Magnus
Rubick
Rubickyamich
52% · 298 games51% · 201 game
Tuskflacko
Tusk
Undying
UndyingSolo
43% · 42 games51% · 248 games
LionFernans
Lion
Game 2prediction correct40:16
9Pandas 55%Passion UA 45%
The model gave 55% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 34:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistDarkLord^
57% · 199 games50% · 131 game
Ursayowaai
Ursa
Tiny
Tinyerase
53% · 328 games41% · 152 games
TerrorbladeBatyuk
Terrorblade
Tidehunter
Tidehunterlaise
57% · 61 game48% · 144 games
Invokerniche
Invoker
Elder Titan
Elder TitanSolo
56% · 94 games45% · 266 games
Enchantressflacko
Enchantress
Rubick
Rubickyamich
49% · 275 games45% · 264 games
LionFernans
Lion
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 56%
Series result9Pandas 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2