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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
VP.Prodigyloss 0:1
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Yellow Submarinewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

VP.Prodigy

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
JANTER · 28 games
64%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
raregods · 26 games
38%
Tiny
Tiny
raregods · 26 games
50%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
raregods · 17 games
59%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Katsura · 17 games
59%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 17 games
24%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Serenada · 16 games
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
cutie · 16 games
69%

Yellow Submarine

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Htrd · 40 games
63%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 22 games
59%
Batrider
Batridersignature
not me · 18 games
61%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Infernal · 18 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
not me · 15 games
53%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Shigetsu · 15 games
60%
Lich
Lichsignature
Xakoda · 12 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Rain · 12 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
621 picks · 403 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
525 picks · 290 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
484 picks · 580 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
467 picks · 388 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
426 picks · 600 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
345 picks · 975 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
342 picks · 287 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 506 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 65%
Hero pool strength53% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total77% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:44
VP.Prodigy 37%Yellow Submarine 63%
The model gave 63% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 39:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSerenada
55% · 114 games48% · 139 games
KezShigetsu
Kez
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendcutie
57% · 179 games40% · 150 games
DawnbreakerBatyuk
Dawnbreaker
Doom
DoomMiyaoo
50% · 171 game46% · 171 game
Void SpiritRain
Void Spirit
Ringmaster
Ringmasterraregods
58% · 138 games52% · 76 games
LichXakoda
Lich
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernJANTER
51% · 59 games43% · 125 games
ClockwerkWein
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 77%
Series resultYellow Submarine 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1