CCT Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:1
MOUZwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 19 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
v1olent- · 19 games
Dark Willow
OneJey · 18 games
Batrideroften banned
Panto · 17 games
Pucksignature
Mirage · 17 games
Rubick
Panto · 17 games
Snapfire
OneJey · 17 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Panto · 16 games
MOUZ
Witch Doctor
bengan · 30 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulnit · 29 games
Dark Seer
Force · 26 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Force · 25 games
Pangolieroften banned
Force · 24 games
Clockwerksignature
NARMAN · 23 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
NARMAN · 23 games
Dark Willow
NARMAN · 22 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
479 picks · 655 bans
Clockwerk
416 picks · 459 bans
Luna
351 picks · 441 bans
Pangolier
351 picks · 522 bans
Dark Willow
322 picks · 173 bans
Enchantress
321 picks · 645 bans
Dragon Knight
318 picks · 394 bans
Batrider
294 picks · 305 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 47%
Hero pool strength52% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total56% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
HULIGANI 56%MOUZ 44%
The model gave 56% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by MOUZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 56%
Series resultMOUZ 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1