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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Carstensz Esportswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangon Galacticos

Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Ksh · 9 games
56%
Lion
Lion
Dric~ · 3 games
67%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
100%
Bane
Bane
Teehee · 2 games
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%

Carstensz Esports

Slardar
Slardaroften banned
seimei · 6 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ace12 · 4 games
50%
Bane
Bane
ace12 · 3 games
100%
Lich
Lich
ace12 · 3 games
33%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
Dreamocel · 3 games
67%
Axe
Axeoften banned
seimei · 2 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
seimei · 2 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Q · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
620 picks · 402 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
525 picks · 289 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
484 picks · 580 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
464 picks · 388 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
426 picks · 598 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
342 picks · 973 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
340 picks · 287 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 504 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Carstensz Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:39
Yangon Galacticos 52%Carstensz Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Carstensz Esports in 30:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinKsh
57% · 142 games47% · 123 games
LunaDreamocel
Luna
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritYoung PH
45% · 232 games48% · 248 games
Doomseimei
Doom
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerRupido
54% · 184 games48% · 584 games
Tuskace12
Tusk
Hoodwink
HoodwinkDric~
50% · 279 games
Bane
BaneTeehee
56% · 118 games
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 54%
Series resultCarstensz Esports 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1