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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
VP.Prodigywin 2:0
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MODUSloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

VP.Prodigy

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
JANTER · 28 games
64%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
raregods · 26 games
38%
Tiny
Tiny
raregods · 25 games
52%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
raregods · 17 games
59%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Katsura · 17 games
59%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 16 games
19%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
cutie · 15 games
80%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Serenada · 15 games
47%

MODUS

Rubick
Rubick
mrls · 11 games
27%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 11 games
18%
Tiny
Tiny
bottega · 11 games
27%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
prblms · 9 games
56%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirele · 9 games
67%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
elmo^^ · 9 games
78%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
prblms · 8 games
63%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
mrls · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
616 picks · 400 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
519 picks · 289 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
485 picks · 581 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
466 picks · 388 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
425 picks · 596 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
342 picks · 969 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
339 picks · 284 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 502 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% VP.Prodigy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% MODUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:24
VP.Prodigy 46%MODUS 54%
The model gave 54% on MODUS — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy in 1:04:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendcutie
59% · 207 games52% · 171 game
Underlordelmo^^
Underlord
Doom
DoomMiyaoo
48% · 181 game47% · 222 games
Void SpiritMirele
Void Spirit
Primal Beast
Primal BeastSerenada
44% · 166 games54% · 144 games
Kezbottega
Kez
Clockwerk
Clockwerkraregods
49% · 193 games53% · 472 games
Hoodwinkprblms
Hoodwink
Disruptor
DisruptorJANTER
49% · 293 games42% · 31 game
Witch Doctorkasane
Witch Doctor
Game 2prediction missed55:41
VP.Prodigy 47%MODUS 53%
The model gave 53% on MODUS — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy in 1:13:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckSerenada
48% · 532 games56% · 356 games
Windrangerbottega
Windranger
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendcutie
51% · 213 games47% · 145 games
Dark Seerelmo^^
Dark Seer
Tidehunter
TidehunterMiyaoo
45% · 201 game44% · 519 games
Void SpiritMirele
Void Spirit
Snapfire
Snapfireraregods
51% · 226 games52% · 291 game
Rubickkasane
Rubick
Tusk
TuskJANTER
50% · 385 games56% · 246 games
Clockwerkprblms
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteMODUS · 57%
Series resultVP.Prodigy 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2