IESF World Esports Championship 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Грецияwin 2:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Аргентинаloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Греция
No games played over 6 months.
Аргентина
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
470 picks · 639 bans
Clockwerk
404 picks · 449 bans
Pangolier
345 picks · 500 bans
Luna
344 picks · 428 bans
Enchantress
316 picks · 626 bans
Dark Willow
315 picks · 169 bans
Dragon Knight
302 picks · 376 bans
Batrider
281 picks · 290 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 59%
Hero pool strength50% Греция
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Греция
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed5:23
Греция 64%Аргентина 36%
The model gave 64% on Греция — the game was taken by Аргентина in 29:16.
Game 2prediction correct
Греция 64%Аргентина 36%
The model gave 64% on Греция — the game was taken by Греция.
Game 3prediction correct
Греция 64%Аргентина 36%
The model gave 64% on Греция — the game was taken by Греция.
Model check result
Model favoriteГреция · 64%
Series resultГреция 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3