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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Mentality Monsterloss 0:2
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Mentality Monster

Silencer
Silencer
Juju · 5 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
GaN- · 3 games
33%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
GaN- · 3 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
100%
Luna
Luna
Cije · 2 games
50%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
100%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
50%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Cije · 2 games
0%

Yangon Galacticos

Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Ksh · 8 games
50%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Dric~ · 2 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
616 picks · 400 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
518 picks · 288 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
484 picks · 581 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
464 picks · 386 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
423 picks · 596 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
342 picks · 967 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
339 picks · 284 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 501 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Mentality Monster
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% Mentality Monster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Mentality Monster 52%Yangon Galacticos 48%
The model gave 52% on Mentality Monster — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos.
Game 2prediction missed38:39
Mentality Monster 51%Yangon Galacticos 49%
The model gave 51% on Mentality Monster — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 1:03:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Io
Ioegxrdemxn
62% · 32 games51% · 307 games
Shadow FiendKsh
Shadow Fiend
Tiny
TinyCije
47% · 413 games50% · 215 games
TimbersawRupido
Timbersaw
Snapfire
SnapfireGaN-
48% · 300 games44% · 332 games
PangolierYoung PH
Pangolier
Largo
LargoOneJey
57% · 138 games44% · 152 games
LionDric~
Lion
Phoenix
PhoenixJuju
49% · 277 games56% · 154 games
BaneTeehee
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteMentality Monster · 52%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2