The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Mentality Monsterwin 1:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:0
WSWinteR Squadronloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Mentality Monster
Silencer
Juju · 5 games
Snapfireoften banned
GaN- · 3 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
GaN- · 3 games
Clockwerkoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
Luna
Cije · 2 games
Lycanoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
Muertaoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
Cije · 2 games
WinteR Squadron
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
616 picks · 399 bans
Rubick
517 picks · 288 bans
Phoenix
481 picks · 584 bans
Tiny
465 picks · 387 bans
Pangolier
424 picks · 595 bans
Puck
343 picks · 969 bans
Tusk
339 picks · 283 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 502 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Mentality Monster
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Mentality Monster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Mentality Monster 76%WinteR Squadron 24%
The model gave 76% on Mentality Monster — the game was taken by Mentality Monster.
Model check result
Model favoriteMentality Monster · 76%
Series resultMentality Monster 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1