The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionGBGrind Backwin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DDirebornloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Grind Back
No games played over 6 months.
Direborn
Silencer
PlayHard · 4 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Juju · 3 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
woMy · 3 games
Kezoften banned
db- · 2 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 2 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
woMy · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
Cije · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
woMy · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
616 picks · 399 bans
Rubick
517 picks · 288 bans
Phoenix
481 picks · 584 bans
Tiny
465 picks · 387 bans
Pangolier
424 picks · 595 bans
Puck
343 picks · 969 bans
Tusk
339 picks · 283 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 502 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 40%
Hero pool strength53% Grind Back
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Grind Back
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Grind Back 79%Direborn 21%
The model gave 79% on Grind Back — the game was taken by Grind Back.
Game 2prediction correct
Grind Back 79%Direborn 21%
The model gave 79% on Grind Back — the game was taken by Grind Back.
Model check result
Model favoriteGrind Back · 79%
Series resultGrind Back 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2