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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Refuserloss 0:1
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Yakult Brotherswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Refuser

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Paparazi · 4 games
25%
Tiny
Tiny
Monet · 4 games
25%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Yang · 3 games
67%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Pyw · 3 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Dy · 3 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Paparazi · 3 games
33%
Razor
Razor
zeal · 3 games
33%
Rubick
Rubick
BoBoKa · 3 games
33%

Yakult Brothers

Tiny
Tinysignature
BoBoKa · 21 game
62%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Moon · 15 games
33%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Moon · 15 games
40%
Jakiro
Jakiro
天命 · 14 games
36%
Muerta
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 14 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 13 games
62%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 12 games
33%
Largo
Largooften banned
天命 · 12 games
42%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
616 picks · 399 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
517 picks · 288 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
481 picks · 584 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
465 picks · 387 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
424 picks · 595 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
343 picks · 969 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
339 picks · 283 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 502 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total73% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:20
Team Refuser 40%Yakult Brothers 60%
The model gave 60% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 18:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerPaparazi
54% · 121 game48% · 46 games
Necrophoslou
Necrophos
Muerta
MuertaMonet
50% · 259 games51% · 246 games
Storm SpiritSetsu
Storm Spirit
Axe
AxeYang
56% · 222 games51% · 188 games
BeastmasterXiangyu
Beastmaster
Io
IoBoBoKa
42% · 58 games45% · 202 games
Phoenix天命
Phoenix
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPoloson
51% · 216 games48% · 194 games
RubickKaka
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 73%
Series resultYakult Brothers 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1