CCT Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:1series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 0:1
DMSwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 19 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
v1olent- · 19 games
Dark Willow
OneJey · 18 games
Pucksignature
Mirage · 17 games
Snapfire
OneJey · 17 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Panto · 16 games
Rubick
Panto · 16 games
Batridersignature
Panto · 15 games
DMS
Batrider
Daxak · 17 games
Alchemistoften banned
rincyq · 12 games
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 12 games
Tuskoften banned
prblms · 12 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Daxak · 11 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Hduo · 10 games
Tinyoften banned
mellojul · 10 games
Jakiro
aik · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
453 picks · 603 bans
Clockwerk
388 picks · 419 bans
Pangolier
334 picks · 471 bans
Luna
332 picks · 409 bans
Enchantress
310 picks · 597 bans
Dark Willow
305 picks · 165 bans
Dragon Knight
285 picks · 343 bans
Sand King
271 picks · 794 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total80% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
HULIGANI 80%DMS 20%
The model gave 80% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by DMS.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 80%
Series resultDMS 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1