ESL One Bangkok 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kukuysloss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BOOM Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Kukuys
Marci
Palos · 7 games
Mirana
Palos · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jing · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Palos · 4 games
Tuskoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Natsumi · 3 games
Dark Willow
Jing · 3 games
Lone Druidoften banned
Palos · 3 games
BOOM Esports
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 22 games
Clockwerksignature
Yadomi · 17 games
Hoodwink
Matthew · 17 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Parker · 16 games
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 16 games
Brewmastersignature
Sacred · 15 games
Sand Kingsignature
DarkMago · 15 games
Snapfiresignature
Matthew · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
453 picks · 603 bans
Clockwerk
388 picks · 419 bans
Pangolier
334 picks · 471 bans
Luna
332 picks · 409 bans
Enchantress
310 picks · 597 bans
Dark Willow
305 picks · 165 bans
Dragon Knight
285 picks · 343 bans
Sand King
271 picks · 794 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 65%
Hero pool strength51% Team Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:32
Team Kukuys 41%BOOM Esports 59%
The model gave 59% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 45:43.
Game 2prediction correct27:14
Team Kukuys 41%BOOM Esports 59%
The model gave 59% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 30:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 59%
Series resultBOOM Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2