IESF World Esports Championship 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Кыргызстанwin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Аргентинаloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Кыргызстан
No games played over 6 months.
Аргентина
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
454 picks · 599 bans
Clockwerk
386 picks · 415 bans
Pangolier
331 picks · 472 bans
Luna
330 picks · 407 bans
Enchantress
311 picks · 596 bans
Dark Willow
301 picks · 164 bans
Dragon Knight
285 picks · 341 bans
Sand King
269 picks · 790 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Кыргызстан
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total62% Кыргызстан
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Кыргызстан 62%Аргентина 38%
The model gave 62% on Кыргызстан — the game was taken by Кыргызстан.
Game 2prediction correct
Кыргызстан 62%Аргентина 38%
The model gave 62% on Кыргызстан — the game was taken by Кыргызстан.
Model check result
Model favoriteКыргызстан · 62%
Series resultКыргызстан 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2