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ESL One Bangkok 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0
series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Zone_Academyloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shopify Rebellion

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yopaj · 17 games
59%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 14 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Yopaj · 13 games
46%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Skem · 11 games
64%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Yopaj · 10 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Skem · 9 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SabeRLight- · 9 games
56%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Yopaj · 9 games
78%

Zone_Academy

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
448 picks · 592 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
383 picks · 405 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
332 picks · 471 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
328 picks · 398 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
308 picks · 595 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
294 picks · 158 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
287 picks · 339 bans
53%
Sand King
Sand King
268 picks · 787 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Shopify Rebellion 92%Zone_Academy 8%
The model gave 92% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion.
Game 2prediction correct
Shopify Rebellion 92%Zone_Academy 8%
The model gave 92% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion.
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 92%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2