ESL One Bangkok 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 2:0series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Call911loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Talon Esports
Phoenix
Ponyo · 16 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Kuku · 15 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Akashi · 15 games
Enchantressoften banned
Kuku · 13 games
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 12 games
Sniperoften banned
Jhocam · 12 games
Dark Willowsignature
Jhocam · 11 games
Marcioften banned
Akashi · 11 games
Call911
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
436 picks · 567 bans
Clockwerk
375 picks · 379 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 446 bans
Luna
320 picks · 379 bans
Enchantress
301 picks · 569 bans
Dark Willow
283 picks · 153 bans
Dragon Knight
266 picks · 328 bans
Shadow Demon
258 picks · 985 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 43%
Hero pool strength52% Talon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:21
Talon Esports 96%Call911 4%
The model gave 96% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 32:32.
Game 2prediction correct29:8
Talon Esports 96%Call911 4%
The model gave 96% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 19:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 96%
Series resultTalon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2