ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionPAPirate and Cowloss 0:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
EEEthereal Edgewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Pirate and Cow
No games played over 6 months.
Ethereal Edge
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
434 picks · 564 bans
Clockwerk
378 picks · 379 bans
Pangolier
322 picks · 447 bans
Luna
319 picks · 377 bans
Enchantress
300 picks · 575 bans
Dark Willow
284 picks · 153 bans
Dragon Knight
268 picks · 332 bans
Shadow Demon
258 picks · 985 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Pirate and Cow
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Ethereal Edge
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Pirate and Cow 49%Ethereal Edge 51%
The model gave 51% on Ethereal Edge — the game was taken by Ethereal Edge.
Game 2prediction correct
Pirate and Cow 49%Ethereal Edge 51%
The model gave 51% on Ethereal Edge — the game was taken by Ethereal Edge.
Model check result
Model favoriteEthereal Edge · 51%
Series resultEthereal Edge 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2