ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Groomifyloss 0:1series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TTeamlesswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Groomify
Bane
Teehee · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
YoungGodLevi · 1 game
Teamless
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
430 picks · 548 bans
Clockwerk
376 picks · 370 bans
Pangolier
328 picks · 435 bans
Luna
315 picks · 369 bans
Enchantress
300 picks · 572 bans
Dark Willow
278 picks · 147 bans
Dragon Knight
264 picks · 341 bans
Batrider
258 picks · 241 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Teamless
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Teamless
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Groomify 37%Teamless 63%
The model gave 63% on Teamless — the game was taken by Teamless.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeamless · 63%
Series resultTeamless 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1