ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
TiltedBoyswin 1:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:0
CMChuni Mafialoss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TiltedBoys
No games played over 6 months.
Chuni Mafia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
422 picks · 526 bans
Clockwerk
371 picks · 360 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 437 bans
Luna
311 picks · 361 bans
Enchantress
300 picks · 560 bans
Dark Willow
273 picks · 144 bans
Dragon Knight
261 picks · 338 bans
Shadow Demon
255 picks · 944 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% TiltedBoys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% TiltedBoys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:36
TiltedBoys 70%Chuni Mafia 30%
The model gave 70% on TiltedBoys — the game was taken by TiltedBoys in 53:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteTiltedBoys · 70%
Series resultTiltedBoys 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1