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ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:1
9Pandaswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 16 games
31%
Batrider
Batridersignature
jesv · 15 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
aik · 13 games
46%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Shishak · 13 games
69%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
aik · 12 games
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
nicky`cool · 12 games
33%
Underlord
Underlord
MikSa` · 12 games
33%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
nicky`cool · 11 games
55%

9Pandas

Weaver
Weaversignature
sayuw · 10 games
60%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Solo · 8 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 6 games
50%
Undying
Undying
Solo · 5 games
20%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Alberkaaa · 4 games
75%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 4 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Solo · 4 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
DarkLord^ · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
422 picks · 525 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
371 picks · 362 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
321 picks · 447 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
311 picks · 362 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
300 picks · 568 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
272 picks · 144 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
260 picks · 345 bans
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
255 picks · 945 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% 9Pandas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 44%9Pandas 56%
The model gave 56% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 56%
Series result9Pandas 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1