ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Groomifyloss 0:1series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Ivorywin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Groomify
No games played over 6 months.
Ivory
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Rupido · 2 games
Rubick
Dric~ · 2 games
Batrider
Dric~ · 1 game
Doomoften banned
Rupido · 1 game
Earth Spiritoften banned
Ken · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ken · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Rupido · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Rupido · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
422 picks · 522 bans
Clockwerk
371 picks · 358 bans
Pangolier
320 picks · 447 bans
Luna
311 picks · 361 bans
Enchantress
299 picks · 567 bans
Dark Willow
271 picks · 143 bans
Dragon Knight
260 picks · 345 bans
Shadow Demon
255 picks · 940 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% Groomify
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Ivory
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:31
Groomify 42%Ivory 58%
The model gave 58% on Ivory — the game was taken by Ivory in 32:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendYoungGodLevi
Primal BeastRupido
BaneTeehee
InvokerKen
38% · 42 games
Dark WillowDric~
Model check result
Model favoriteIvory · 66%
Series resultIvory 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1