The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Flame Esportswin 1:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TY Coachloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Flame Esports
Rubick
Jeezy · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
emptiness · 4 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 3 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Stoic · 3 games
Windranger
legacy · 3 games
Doomoften banned
emptiness · 2 games
Hoodwink
Jeezy · 2 games
Huskaroften banned
legacy · 2 games
TY Coach
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
605 picks · 389 bans
Rubick
508 picks · 281 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 578 bans
Tiny
462 picks · 382 bans
Pangolier
418 picks · 585 bans
Puck
342 picks · 946 bans
Tusk
337 picks · 277 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 490 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Flame Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Flame Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:11
Flame Esports 60%TY Coach 40%
The model gave 60% on Flame Esports — the game was taken by Flame Esports in 33:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlame Esports · 60%
Series resultFlame Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1