DreamLeague Season 24 · BO3
result vs predictionLFLooking for Orgloss 0:2
series probability
6%94%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Falconswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Looking for Org
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 21 game
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 16 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mnz · 16 games
Snapfire
Matthew · 14 games
Tuskoften banned
Yadomi · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 13 games
Doomoften banned
Sacred · 12 games
Lunasignature
Mnz · 12 games
Team Falcons
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 54 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 31 game
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 30 games
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 30 games
Razorsignature
ATF · 27 games
Timbersawsignature
ATF · 26 games
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 25 games
Doomsignature
ATF · 24 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
408 picks · 516 bans
Clockwerk
375 picks · 362 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 462 bans
Luna
311 picks · 362 bans
Enchantress
300 picks · 570 bans
Dark Willow
265 picks · 145 bans
Batrider
254 picks · 258 bans
Snapfire
253 picks · 123 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 69%
Hero pool strength60% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:31
Looking for Org 18%Team Falcons 82%
The model gave 82% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 39:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiendpayk
DoomATF
MarsDarkMago
Dragon KnightSkiter
Primal BeastSacred
ViperMalr1ne
HoodwinkMatthew
EnchantressSneyking
ClockwerkYadomi
SnapfireCr1t-
Game 2prediction correct21:34
Looking for Org 19%Team Falcons 81%
The model gave 81% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 52:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiendpayk
SvenSkiter
TinyDarkMago
RazorATF
MarsSacred
PangolierMalr1ne
ClockwerkYadomi
EnchantressSneyking
PugnaMatthew
TuskCr1t-
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 94%
Series resultTeam Falcons 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2