The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spirit Academywin 1:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Balu Teamloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit Academy
Jakiro
kyford · 18 games
Lion
Aidar · 15 games
Warlock
kyford · 13 games
Dark Willow
Aidar · 12 games
Dazzle
kyford · 12 games
Primal Beast
SunshineRR · 10 games
Techies
Aidar · 10 games
Tiny
86 · 10 games
Balu Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
607 picks · 389 bans
Rubick
508 picks · 281 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 579 bans
Tiny
463 picks · 383 bans
Pangolier
418 picks · 584 bans
Puck
342 picks · 947 bans
Tusk
338 picks · 278 bans
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 491 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)21% vs 29%
Hero pool strength60% Balu Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team Spirit Academy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:15
Team Spirit Academy 56%Balu Team 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Spirit Academy — the game was taken by Team Spirit Academy in 39:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit Academy · 56%
Series resultTeam Spirit Academy 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1