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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:2
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 53 games
72%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 31 game
74%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 30 games
77%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 30 games
53%
Razor
Razorsignature
ATF · 27 games
63%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
ATF · 26 games
77%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 25 games
72%
Doom
Doomsignature
ATF · 24 games
79%

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 22 games
55%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 18 games
61%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 18 games
39%
Doom
Doomoften banned
MieRo · 17 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 16 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 16 games
63%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
402 picks · 512 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
371 picks · 361 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
319 picks · 460 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
309 picks · 361 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
297 picks · 565 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
264 picks · 145 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
254 picks · 254 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
253 picks · 123 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 47%
Hero pool strength57% Team Falcons
Head-to-head9 – 0
Model total77% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:35
Team Falcons 68%BETBOOM TEAM 32%
The model gave 68% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaSkiter
51% · 276 games56% · 157 games
Templar AssassinPure~
Templar Assassin
Bristleback
BristlebackATF
48% · 135 games48% · 160 games
Invokerkiyotaka
Invoker
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritMalr1ne
50% · 145 games56% · 251 game
Primal BeastMieRo
Primal Beast
Hoodwink
HoodwinkCr1t-
49% · 278 games47% · 157 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Pugna
PugnaSneyking
49% · 162 games46% · 271 game
TuskKataomi
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed28:50
Team Falcons 69%BETBOOM TEAM 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:11:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaSkiter
51% · 142 games49% · 134 games
Templar AssassinPure~
Templar Assassin
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMalr1ne
57% · 231 game45% · 312 games
Pangolierkiyotaka
Pangolier
Bristleback
BristlebackATF
48% · 148 games48% · 184 games
MarsMieRo
Mars
Pugna
PugnaSneyking
50% · 178 games51% · 126 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Lion
LionCr1t-
56% · 281 game45% · 224 games
TuskKataomi
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 77%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2