?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 24 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 0:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 12 games
75%
Marci
Marcisignature
9Class · 8 games
63%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Crystallis · 7 games
71%
Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 7 games
86%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 7 games
100%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 7 games
57%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 7 games
86%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 6 games
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 22 games
55%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 18 games
61%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 18 games
39%
Doom
Doomoften banned
MieRo · 17 games
59%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 16 games
63%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 16 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
396 picks · 511 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
368 picks · 361 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
323 picks · 461 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
307 picks · 361 bans
55%
Enchantress
Enchantress
298 picks · 572 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
262 picks · 145 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
256 picks · 259 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
254 picks · 125 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 46%
Hero pool strength58% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:33
PARIVISION 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 52:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistCrystallis
49% · 154 games44% · 164 games
GyrocopterPure~
Gyrocopter
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritNo[o]ne
44% · 80 games54% · 183 games
Timbersawkiyotaka
Timbersaw
Sand King
Sand KingDM
53% · 117 games48% · 91 game
MagnusMieRo
Magnus
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
47% · 235 games56% · 101 game
Naga SirenKataomi
Naga Siren
Pugna
PugnaDukalis
54% · 158 games49% · 205 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction missed10:25
PARIVISION 52%BETBOOM TEAM 48%
The model gave 52% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 31:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackCrystallis
48% · 86 games51% · 130 games
Shadow FiendPure~
Shadow Fiend
Monkey King
Monkey KingNo[o]ne
53% · 136 games43% · 170 games
BeastmasterMieRo
Beastmaster
Sand King
Sand KingDM
52% · 163 games55% · 157 games
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
Storm Spirit
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
43% · 224 games50% · 168 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
Elder Titan
Elder TitanDukalis
52% · 122 games53% · 106 games
Naga SirenKataomi
Naga Siren
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 50%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2