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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 24 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
52%
Doom
Doomoften banned
MieRo · 17 games
59%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 17 games
59%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 16 games
63%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 16 games
69%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 15 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 14 games
57%

Xtreme Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 19 games
74%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 15 games
73%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Dy · 14 games
50%
Marci
Marcisignature
XinQ · 14 games
79%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 14 games
71%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Ame · 14 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 13 games
77%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
389 picks · 505 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
373 picks · 352 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
325 picks · 463 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
305 picks · 360 bans
55%
Enchantress
Enchantress
299 picks · 596 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
260 picks · 130 bans
49%
Batrider
Batrider
257 picks · 258 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
255 picks · 144 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 48%
Hero pool strength54% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 3
Model total51% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:14
BETBOOM TEAM 50%Xtreme Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinkiyotaka
46% · 158 games53% · 170 games
Shadow FiendAme
Shadow Fiend
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
49% · 218 games51% · 268 games
PuckXm
Puck
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerPure~
45% · 40 games48% · 229 games
DoomXxs
Doom
Batrider
BatriderSave-
54% · 308 games51% · 224 games
Dark WillowPyw
Dark Willow
Enchantress
EnchantressKataomi
50% · 278 games52% · 111 games
Marci天命
Marci
Game 2prediction correct12:33
BETBOOM TEAM 47%Xtreme Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 36:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterPure~
43% · 202 games53% · 181 game
Nature's ProphetAme
Nature's Prophet
Mars
MarsMieRo
48% · 198 games55% · 165 games
Sand KingXxs
Sand King
Invoker
Invokerkiyotaka
53% · 177 games54% · 211 games
Storm SpiritXm
Storm Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
49% · 282 games48% · 271 game
Dark WillowPyw
Dark Willow
Tusk
TuskKataomi
45% · 314 games51% · 345 games
Clockwerk天命
Clockwerk
Game 3prediction missed29:8
BETBOOM TEAM 50%Xtreme Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Magnus
MagnusPure~
53% · 213 games56% · 97 games
AlchemistAme
Alchemist
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerMieRo
32% · 51 game60% · 211 games
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
Centaur Warrunner
Invoker
Invokerkiyotaka
45% · 183 games52% · 228 games
PangolierXm
Pangolier
Tusk
TuskSave-
46% · 328 games55% · 72 games
Chen天命
Chen
Warlock
WarlockKataomi
44% · 24 games52% · 191 game
BatriderPyw
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 51%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3