The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 1:0series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Do6pa9 0xo7aloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Level UP
Tusk
lupsione · 6 games
Windranger
chempik · 5 games
Jakiro
monodrama · 4 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
chempik · 4 games
Tiny
Atoufix · 4 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Norma · 3 games
Morphling
chempik · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
monodrama · 3 games
Do6pa9 0xo7a
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
606 picks · 389 bans
Rubick
508 picks · 281 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 577 bans
Tiny
463 picks · 383 bans
Pangolier
417 picks · 583 bans
Puck
341 picks · 945 bans
Tusk
338 picks · 278 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 490 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Do6pa9 0xo7a
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:9
Level UP 89%Do6pa9 0xo7a 11%
The model gave 89% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 18:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 89%
Series resultLevel UP 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1