?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 24 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Looking for Orgwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 18 games
78%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 17 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Dy · 14 games
50%
Marci
Marcisignature
XinQ · 14 games
79%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 14 games
71%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 14 games
71%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Ame · 14 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Xxs · 13 games
38%

Looking for Org

Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 20 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Matthew · 14 games
57%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 13 games
46%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mnz · 13 games
31%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Yadomi · 12 games
67%
Luna
Lunasignature
Mnz · 11 games
73%
Doom
Doomsignature
Sacred · 10 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
384 picks · 504 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
373 picks · 348 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
322 picks · 463 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
302 picks · 358 bans
55%
Enchantress
Enchantress
300 picks · 594 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
262 picks · 135 bans
48%
Batrider
Batrider
256 picks · 257 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
254 picks · 139 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 51%
Hero pool strength56% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:40
Xtreme Gaming 70%Looking for Org 30%
The model gave 70% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 48:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautAme
40% · 12 games48% · 102 games
Shadow Fiendpayk
Shadow Fiend
Sniper
SniperXm
47% · 61 game42% · 28 games
DawnbreakerSacred
Dawnbreaker
Enigma
EnigmaXxs
55% · 79 games46% · 85 games
Earth SpiritDarkMago
Earth Spirit
Tiny
TinyPyw
54% · 218 games53% · 233 games
GyrocopterYadomi
Gyrocopter
Tusk
Tusk天命
48% · 190 games52% · 112 games
PugnaMatthew
Pugna
Game 2prediction correct34:9
Xtreme Gaming 67%Looking for Org 33%
The model gave 67% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 32:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistAme
51% · 226 games52% · 314 games
Lunapayk
Luna
Puck
PuckXm
48% · 399 games52% · 358 games
TinyDarkMago
Tiny
Dark Seer
Dark SeerXxs
53% · 203 games50% · 272 games
MarsSacred
Mars
Phoenix
Phoenix天命
47% · 342 games50% · 297 games
BatriderMatthew
Batrider
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPyw
51% · 372 games46% · 301 game
TuskYadomi
Tusk
Game 3prediction missed10:30
Xtreme Gaming 70%Looking for Org 30%
The model gave 70% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 37:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautAme
52% · 15 games48% · 208 games
Gyrocopterpayk
Gyrocopter
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
59% · 213 games45% · 337 games
PangolierDarkMago
Pangolier
Beastmaster
BeastmasterXxs
42% · 226 games55% · 55 games
Death ProphetSacred
Death Prophet
Lion
LionPyw
45% · 185 games51% · 254 games
ClockwerkYadomi
Clockwerk
Enchantress
Enchantress天命
52% · 325 games55% · 110 games
Nyx AssassinMatthew
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 81%
Series resultLooking for Org 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3