The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
MODUSwin 1:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The Simurghloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MODUS
Rubick
mrls · 10 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 10 games
Tiny
bottega · 10 games
Hoodwinksignature
mrls · 8 games
Pucksignature
Mirele · 8 games
Ringmaster
mrls · 8 games
Void Spirit
Mirele · 8 games
Clockwerkoften banned
prblms · 7 games
The Simurgh
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
606 picks · 388 bans
Rubick
507 picks · 281 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 577 bans
Tiny
463 picks · 382 bans
Pangolier
417 picks · 583 bans
Puck
340 picks · 945 bans
Tusk
338 picks · 277 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 490 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% The Simurgh
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% MODUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:6
MODUS 79%The Simurgh 21%
The model gave 79% on MODUS — the game was taken by MODUS in 21:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteMODUS · 79%
Series resultMODUS 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1