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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Heroicloss 1:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Palianytsialoss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
KJ · 28 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Scofield · 26 games
62%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Scofield · 19 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Scofield · 18 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
4nalog · 17 games
59%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
KJ · 16 games
63%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
K1 · 15 games
73%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Davai · 13 games
54%

Palianytsia

Luna
Lunasignature
Crystallize · 18 games
61%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
QBFY · 16 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Moonlight · 16 games
44%
Snapfire
Snapfire
QBFY · 16 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
kreker · 12 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 12 games
42%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
kreker · 11 games
36%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
fortniteMan · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
379 picks · 502 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
373 picks · 347 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
324 picks · 468 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
307 picks · 601 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
302 picks · 356 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
272 picks · 140 bans
49%
Batrider
Batrider
253 picks · 256 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
253 picks · 137 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 42%
Hero pool strength57% Heroic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:26
Heroic 54%Palianytsia 46%
The model gave 54% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 34:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaParker
47% · 137 games53% · 133 games
Shadow FiendCrystallize
Shadow Fiend
Visage
VisageDavai
48% · 88 games44% · 173 games
BeastmasterfortniteMan
Beastmaster
Primal Beast
Primal Beast4nalog
50% · 315 games47% · 392 games
PangolierMoonlight
Pangolier
Lion
LionScofield
52% · 211 games50% · 121 game
Marcikreker
Marci
Clockwerk
ClockwerkKJ
54% · 357 games53% · 289 games
BatriderQBFY
Batrider
Game 2prediction missed56:71
Heroic 53%Palianytsia 47%
The model gave 53% on Heroic — the game was taken by Palianytsia in 49:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawParker
53% · 254 games48% · 138 games
Nature's ProphetCrystallize
Nature's Prophet
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker4nalog
41% · 39 games56% · 73 games
Queen of PainMoonlight
Queen of Pain
Primal Beast
Primal BeastDavai
54% · 284 games39% · 24 games
Bounty Hunterkreker
Bounty Hunter
Tiny
TinyScofield
49% · 331 game51% · 371 game
PangolierfortniteMan
Pangolier
Pudge
PudgeKJ
51% · 54 games49% · 356 games
RubickQBFY
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2