Zero Tenacity vs Jazz — prediction I2ОК · Dota 2

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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1

result vs prediction

Zero Tenacitywin 1:0

series probability

82%18%

probability at match start · final 1:0

Jazzloss 0:1

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Hoodwinksignature

dEsire · 34 games

62%

Jakirosignature

MoOz · 32 games

69%

Bristlebackoften banned

Nefrit · 31 game

58%

Ember Spiritsignature

Worick · 30 games

60%

Centaur Warrunneroften banned

Nefrit · 26 games

42%

Phoenixsignature

MoOz · 26 games

69%

Ringmaster

MoOz · 26 games

54%

Tiny

Worick · 26 games

42%

Jazz

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Hoodwink

606 picks · 388 bans

54%

Rubick

507 picks · 281 bans

50%

Phoenix

480 picks · 577 bans

51%

Tiny

463 picks · 382 bans

49%

Pangolier

417 picks · 582 bans

49%

Puck

340 picks · 944 bans

55%

Tusk

338 picks · 276 bans

54%

Ember Spirit

329 picks · 490 bans

50%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)57% vs 40%

Hero pool strength55% Zero Tenacity

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total82% Zero Tenacity

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct44:12

Zero Tenacity 68%Jazz 32%

The model gave 68% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 37:35.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo