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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
nounsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Underlord
Underlordsignature
Ace · 23 games
61%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 21 game
67%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 19 games
53%
Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 18 games
67%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
72%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Seleri · 17 games
47%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
tOfu · 17 games
53%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Quinn · 17 games
59%

nouns

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Fly · 25 games
48%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Gunnar · 25 games
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Fly · 24 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Lelis · 24 games
63%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Copy · 23 games
65%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Lelis · 23 games
43%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Lelis · 22 games
68%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Copy · 22 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
365 picks · 335 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
362 picks · 490 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
328 picks · 463 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
307 picks · 601 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
291 picks · 347 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
285 picks · 154 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
261 picks · 424 bans
48%
Batrider
Batrider
250 picks · 241 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 45%
Hero pool strength51% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total76% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:15
Gaimin Gladiators 63%nouns 37%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 40:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinWatson
47% · 127 games37% · 15 games
Phantom AssassinYuma
Phantom Assassin
Huskar
HuskarQuinn
61% · 30 games55% · 200 games
Centaur WarrunnerGunnar
Centaur Warrunner
Doom
DoomAce
50% · 172 games55% · 61 game
ChenFly
Chen
Muerta
MuertatOfu
40% · 120 games54% · 51 game
Earth SpiritCopy
Earth Spirit
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiSeleri
51% · 23 games47% · 145 games
Dark WillowLelis
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct23:17
Gaimin Gladiators 63%nouns 37%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 44:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaWatson
47% · 102 games49% · 14 games
TinkerCopy
Tinker
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAce
48% · 142 games53% · 94 games
BristlebackGunnar
Bristleback
Viper
ViperQuinn
49% · 45 games53% · 120 games
Monkey KingYuma
Monkey King
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemontOfu
55% · 180 games48% · 262 games
Dark WillowLelis
Dark Willow
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSeleri
48% · 229 games49% · 208 games
Crystal MaidenFly
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 76%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2