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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Azure Raywin 2:0
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Palianytsialoss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Fantasy · 21 game
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
lou · 13 games
38%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
fy · 13 games
15%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Fantasy · 13 games
62%
Batrider
Batrider
Fantasy · 12 games
25%
Sven
Svenoften banned
lou · 12 games
42%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Faith_bian · 11 games
45%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Ori · 11 games
64%

Palianytsia

Luna
Lunasignature
Crystallize · 17 games
65%
Snapfire
Snapfire
QBFY · 16 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
QBFY · 15 games
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Moonlight · 15 games
47%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
kreker · 11 games
27%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 10 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
fortniteMan · 10 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
fortniteMan · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
362 picks · 488 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
361 picks · 332 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
326 picks · 461 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
307 picks · 598 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
289 picks · 346 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
286 picks · 153 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
259 picks · 427 bans
48%
Batrider
Batrider
248 picks · 240 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 47%
Hero pool strength54% Palianytsia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:32
Azure Ray 70%Palianytsia 30%
The model gave 70% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 1:05:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendlou
54% · 146 games48% · 157 games
Dragon KnightCrystallize
Dragon Knight
Mars
Marsniu
53% · 272 games41% · 41 game
Void SpiritMoonlight
Void Spirit
Grimstroke
GrimstrokepLAnet
55% · 154 games49% · 133 games
Primal BeastfortniteMan
Primal Beast
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiFantasy
45% · 35 games54% · 158 games
Clockwerkkreker
Clockwerk
42% · 118 games
Dark WillowQBFY
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct40:24
Azure Ray 68%Palianytsia 32%
The model gave 68% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 36:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusalou
35% · 110 games56% · 71 game
Shadow FiendCrystallize
Shadow Fiend
Pangolier
Pangolierniu
50% · 321 game53% · 69 games
Void SpiritMoonlight
Void Spirit
Lion
LionpLAnet
47% · 128 games63% · 111 games
Dark SeerfortniteMan
Dark Seer
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiFantasy
37% · 26 games50% · 158 games
Dark WillowQBFY
Dark Willow
63% · 176 games
Clockwerkkreker
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 81%
Series resultAzure Ray 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2