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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
PARIVISIONloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 17 games
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 17 games
82%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Dy · 14 games
50%
Marci
Marcisignature
XinQ · 13 games
77%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 13 games
77%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 13 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Xxs · 12 games
42%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 12 games
33%

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batrider
9Class · 5 games
100%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
DM · 4 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Dukalis · 4 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
No[o]ne · 4 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
No[o]ne · 4 games
75%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 3 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 3 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
DM · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
359 picks · 484 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
357 picks · 330 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
323 picks · 459 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
306 picks · 593 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
288 picks · 344 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
284 picks · 153 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
256 picks · 427 bans
48%
Batrider
Batrider
246 picks · 236 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:24
Xtreme Gaming 51%PARIVISION 49%
The model gave 51% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 46:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendAme
49% · 168 games49% · 122 games
Sand KingNo[o]ne
Sand King
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainXm
50% · 70 games46% · 210 games
BeastmasterDM
Beastmaster
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
53% · 324 games49% · 230 games
GyrocopterCrystallis
Gyrocopter
Lion
LionPyw
50% · 168 games50% · 333 games
Batrider9Class
Batrider
Clockwerk
Clockwerk天命
50% · 280 games53% · 115 games
Elder TitanDukalis
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction missed6:23
Xtreme Gaming 52%PARIVISION 48%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 26:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Mirana
MiranaAme
52% · 149 games50% · 154 games
AlchemistCrystallis
Alchemist
Puck
PuckXm
54% · 241 game50% · 48 games
ViperNo[o]ne
Viper
Bristleback
BristlebackXxs
49% · 108 games45% · 310 games
PangolierDM
Pangolier
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinPyw
60% · 66 games54% · 82 games
ChenDukalis
Chen
Clockwerk
Clockwerk天命
47% · 277 games43% · 247 games
Tusk9Class
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2