DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Azure Rayloss 1:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
LFLooking for Orgloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Azure Ray
Clockwerk
Fantasy · 21 game
Hoodwink
fy · 13 games
Tusksignature
Fantasy · 13 games
Batrider
Fantasy · 12 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
lou · 12 games
Svenoften banned
lou · 12 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Faith_bian · 11 games
Pangoliersignature
Ori · 11 games
Looking for Org
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 15 games
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 13 games
Snapfire
Matthew · 13 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mnz · 12 games
Tusksignature
Yadomi · 10 games
Doomoften banned
Sacred · 9 games
Lunasignature
Mnz · 9 games
Omniknightoften banned
Yadomi · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
357 picks · 328 bans
Tusk
357 picks · 480 bans
Pangolier
325 picks · 466 bans
Enchantress
308 picks · 597 bans
Snapfire
289 picks · 160 bans
Luna
285 picks · 344 bans
Dragon Knight
261 picks · 429 bans
Batrider
246 picks · 239 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% Looking for Org
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:21
Azure Ray 50%Looking for Org 50%
The model gave 50% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 45:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmasterniu
Dragon KnightDarkMago
Alchemistlou
Gyrocopterpayk
LionpLAnet
Primal BeastSacred
EnchantressFantasy
Dark WillowYadomi
55% · 238 games
BatriderMatthew
Game 2prediction correct18:37
Azure Ray 50%Looking for Org 50%
The model gave 50% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 55:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knightlou
ZeusDarkMago
Dawnbreakerniu
Alchemistpayk
EnchantressFantasy
Primal BeastSacred
Dark WillowpLAnet
PugnaYadomi
55% · 89 games
Nyx AssassinMatthew
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 51%
Accuracy by game2 of 2