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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:1
PARIVISIONloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Underlord
Underlordsignature
Ace · 23 games
61%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 21 game
67%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 19 games
53%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
72%
Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 17 games
65%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Seleri · 17 games
47%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
tOfu · 17 games
53%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Quinn · 17 games
59%

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batrider
9Class · 4 games
100%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
DM · 4 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
No[o]ne · 4 games
75%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 3 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 3 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Dukalis · 3 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
DM · 3 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
9Class · 3 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
357 picks · 327 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
357 picks · 480 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
326 picks · 466 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
308 picks · 597 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
293 picks · 161 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
285 picks · 343 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
264 picks · 431 bans
49%
Batrider
Batrider
245 picks · 238 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 64%
Hero pool strength54% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:45
Gaimin Gladiators 42%PARIVISION 58%
The model gave 58% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 55:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackAce
50% · 64 games49% · 98 games
RazorCrystallis
Razor
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendWatson
51% · 127 games40% · 58 games
BroodmotherDM
Broodmother
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritQuinn
54% · 62 games50% · 106 games
Sand KingNo[o]ne
Sand King
Muerta
MuertatOfu
47% · 74 games51% · 194 games
Batrider9Class
Batrider
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSeleri
49% · 201 game60% · 72 games
Elder TitanDukalis
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction missed45:35
Gaimin Gladiators 43%PARIVISION 57%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 57:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackWatson
57% · 110 games51% · 160 games
GyrocopterCrystallis
Gyrocopter
Primal Beast
Primal BeastAce
45% · 301 game50% · 299 games
PangolierNo[o]ne
Pangolier
Invoker
InvokerQuinn
50% · 162 games47% · 74 games
EnigmaDM
Enigma
Muerta
MuertatOfu
45% · 115 games48% · 70 games
Marci9Class
Marci
Chen
ChenSeleri
52% · 123 games52% · 208 games
ClockwerkDukalis
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 61%
Accuracy by game1 of 2