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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Nigma Galaxyloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 17 games
82%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 16 games
69%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Dy · 14 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 13 games
77%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 13 games
69%
Marci
Marcisignature
XinQ · 12 games
83%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Xxs · 12 games
42%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 12 games
33%

Nigma Galaxy

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
GH · 21 game
86%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OmaR · 17 games
53%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
SumaiL · 17 games
71%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
GH · 16 games
63%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Fbz · 13 games
85%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Fbz · 11 games
55%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
GH · 11 games
36%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Miracle- · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
357 picks · 476 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
353 picks · 327 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
325 picks · 464 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
306 picks · 595 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
293 picks · 161 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
283 picks · 341 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
264 picks · 431 bans
49%
Batrider
Batrider
245 picks · 236 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total53% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:37
Xtreme Gaming 53%Nigma Galaxy 47%
The model gave 53% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 37:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Primal Beast
Primal BeastXxs
55% · 368 games46% · 211 games
LunaMiracle-
Luna
Spectre
SpectreAme
57% · 59 games49% · 85 games
SniperSumaiL
Sniper
Invoker
InvokerXm
46% · 193 games48% · 327 games
PangolierNo!ob
Pangolier
Lion
LionPyw
53% · 246 games44% · 219 games
EnchantressOmaR
Enchantress
Marci
Marci天命
50% · 170 games54% · 194 games
ClockwerkGH
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct37:18
Xtreme Gaming 53%Nigma Galaxy 47%
The model gave 53% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 44:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautAme
36% · 29 games47% · 280 games
MorphlingMiracle-
Morphling
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
52% · 294 games44% · 147 games
InvokerSumaiL
Invoker
Puck
PuckXm
48% · 183 games56% · 297 games
MarsNo!ob
Mars
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPyw
55% · 209 games49% · 106 games
Nyx AssassinOmaR
Nyx Assassin
Enchantress
Enchantress天命
48% · 254 games55% · 139 games
PugnaGH
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2