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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 22 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 21 game
62%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 21 game
76%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 20 games
70%
Razor
Razorsignature
miCKe · 20 games
75%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
iNSaNiA · 19 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 18 games
61%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 17 games
71%

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 23 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
47%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 16 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 16 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 14 games
57%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 14 games
64%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 13 games
69%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Save- · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
357 picks · 476 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
353 picks · 327 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
325 picks · 464 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
306 picks · 595 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
293 picks · 161 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
283 picks · 341 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
264 picks · 431 bans
49%
Batrider
Batrider
245 picks · 236 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 45%
Hero pool strength54% Team Liquid
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total58% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:29
Team Liquid 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistmiCKe
53% · 148 games51% · 256 games
MorphlingPure~
Morphling
Invoker
InvokerNisha
46% · 157 games52% · 122 games
Sand KingMieRo
Sand King
Broodmother
BroodmotherSabeRLight-
51% · 69 games47% · 107 games
Earth Spiritkiyotaka
Earth Spirit
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBoxi
48% · 254 games50% · 120 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemoniNSaNiA
53% · 228 games50% · 251 game
ClockwerkKataomi
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed16:38
Team Liquid 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunamiCKe
54% · 260 games55% · 185 games
AlchemistPure~
Alchemist
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritNisha
45% · 78 games52% · 284 games
Timbersawkiyotaka
Timbersaw
Beastmaster
BeastmasterSabeRLight-
54% · 125 games67% · 34 games
DawnbreakerMieRo
Dawnbreaker
Hoodwink
HoodwinkBoxi
41% · 217 games43% · 145 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Clockwerk
ClockwerkiNSaNiA
45% · 224 games52% · 256 games
Crystal MaidenKataomi
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 58%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2