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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:2
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
GH · 21 game
86%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OmaR · 17 games
53%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
GH · 16 games
63%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
SumaiL · 16 games
75%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Fbz · 13 games
85%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Fbz · 11 games
55%
Rubick
Rubick
SumaiL · 9 games
33%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Miracle- · 9 games
67%

Gaimin Gladiators

Underlord
Underlordsignature
Ace · 23 games
61%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 21 game
67%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
72%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 18 games
50%
Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 17 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
tOfu · 17 games
53%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Quinn · 17 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Seleri · 16 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
350 picks · 471 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
349 picks · 321 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
324 picks · 458 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
301 picks · 586 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
296 picks · 164 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
277 picks · 336 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
265 picks · 431 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
244 picks · 356 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 39%
Hero pool strength54% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:28
Nigma Galaxy 36%Gaimin Gladiators 64%
The model gave 64% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 35:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingMiracle-
48% · 248 games53% · 423 games
LunaWatson
Luna
Puck
PuckSumaiL
45% · 254 games52% · 262 games
DoomAce
Doom
Pangolier
PangolierNo!ob
52% · 388 games51% · 117 games
Earth SpiritQuinn
Earth Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkOmaR
47% · 277 games51% · 371 game
ClockwerkSeleri
Clockwerk
Tusk
TuskGH
51% · 312 games49% · 306 games
Dark WillowtOfu
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct17:36
Nigma Galaxy 37%Gaimin Gladiators 63%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 36:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerMiracle-
55% · 35 games47% · 145 games
MorphlingWatson
Morphling
Sand King
Sand KingSumaiL
48% · 128 games56% · 65 games
Dark SeerAce
Dark Seer
Tidehunter
TidehunterNo!ob
54% · 75 games52% · 61 game
Earth SpiritQuinn
Earth Spirit
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterOmaR
33% · 21 game56% · 80 games
MuertatOfu
Muerta
Tusk
TuskGH
46% · 220 games47% · 128 games
EnchantressSeleri
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 75%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2