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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Topson · 26 games
65%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 25 games
64%
Mars
Marssignature
RAMZES666 · 24 games
75%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Whitemon · 20 games
55%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Whitemon · 17 games
76%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Saksa · 17 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Topson · 17 games
82%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Pure~ · 16 games
75%

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 23 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 20 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 16 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 15 games
60%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 14 games
64%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 14 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Save- · 14 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 13 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
354 picks · 314 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
342 picks · 464 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
334 picks · 475 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
311 picks · 590 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
311 picks · 194 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
277 picks · 452 bans
47%
Luna
Luna
269 picks · 332 bans
56%
Windranger
Windranger
258 picks · 361 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head5 – 4
Model total57% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:8
Tundra Esports 56%BETBOOM TEAM 44%
The model gave 56% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 23:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNightfall
48% · 169 games44% · 110 games
Templar AssassinPure~
Templar Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritLorenof
52% · 138 games53% · 148 games
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
Storm Spirit
Visage
Visage33
56% · 39 games51% · 31 game
AxeMieRo
Axe
Chen
ChenWhitemon
46% · 82 games56% · 11 games
Ogre MagiKataomi
Ogre Magi
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinSaksa
51% · 45 games51% · 173 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction correct26:21
Tundra Esports 54%BETBOOM TEAM 46%
The model gave 54% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 44:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaNightfall
46% · 277 games57% · 90 games
BristlebackPure~
Bristleback
Beastmaster
Beastmaster33
49% · 163 games44% · 195 games
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
Storm Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritLorenof
47% · 214 games46% · 266 games
MarsMieRo
Mars
Naga Siren
Naga SirenWhitemon
57% · 158 games52% · 254 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
Lion
LionSaksa
54% · 230 games49% · 237 games
Crystal MaidenKataomi
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 57%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2