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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 0:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 26 games
85%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Larl · 25 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 24 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 17 games
82%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 17 games
59%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Larl · 17 games
71%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Miposhka · 17 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 15 games
73%

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 20 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 16 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 15 games
60%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Save- · 14 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 13 games
69%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 13 games
62%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
357 picks · 315 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
341 picks · 464 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
338 picks · 482 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
320 picks · 199 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
314 picks · 595 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
281 picks · 456 bans
47%
Luna
Luna
268 picks · 331 bans
57%
Windranger
Windranger
261 picks · 365 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 48%
Hero pool strength58% Team Spirit
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total62% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:32
Team Spirit 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:00:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaSatanic
51% · 109 games58% · 107 games
AlchemistPure~
Alchemist
Void Spirit
Void SpiritLarl
40% · 127 games58% · 144 games
Invokerkiyotaka
Invoker
Mars
MarsMalik
48% · 331 game47% · 183 games
KunkkaMieRo
Kunkka
Pugna
PugnaMiposhka
44% · 131 game55% · 279 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Dark Willow
Dark Willowrue
46% · 251 game54% · 236 games
Crystal MaidenKataomi
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct3:29
Team Spirit 46%BETBOOM TEAM 54%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaSatanic
55% · 305 games47% · 278 games
MorphlingPure~
Morphling
Enigma
EnigmaMalik
56% · 103 games52% · 149 games
Invokerkiyotaka
Invoker
Sand King
Sand KingLarl
51% · 116 games45% · 199 games
KunkkaMieRo
Kunkka
Enchantress
EnchantressMiposhka
53% · 241 game46% · 104 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Snapfire
Snapfirerue
48% · 194 games46% · 229 games
TuskKataomi
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 62%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2