Открытые киберспортивные студенческие игры 2024. Мировой финал · BO3
result vs prediction
Иранloss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Монголияwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Иран
No games played over 6 months.
Монголия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
352 picks · 310 bans
Pangolier
344 picks · 478 bans
Tusk
336 picks · 459 bans
Snapfire
324 picks · 209 bans
Enchantress
315 picks · 592 bans
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 458 bans
Luna
264 picks · 330 bans
Windranger
263 picks · 365 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 69%
Hero pool strength50% Иран
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Монголия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Иран 42%Монголия 58%
The model gave 58% on Монголия — the game was taken by Монголия.
Game 2prediction correct
Иран 42%Монголия 58%
The model gave 58% on Монголия — the game was taken by Монголия.
Model check result
Model favoriteМонголия · 58%
Series resultМонголия 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2